Iran’s Minister of Foreign Affairs Mohammad Javad Zarif told reporters at the United Nations in New York Thursday that “we have no information about losing a drone.”
A return to the days when US and allied navies escorted ships through the Persian Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz to protect them against attempts by Iran to block Iraqi oil exports during the Iran-Iraq war, would be a dangerous escalation.
The US Naval Forces Central Command and the Fifth Fleet were set up in Bahrain in 1995. They were designed to “command the afloat units that rotationally deploy or surge from the United States plus a few smaller ships that are based in the Gulf for longer periods,” according to the US Department of Defense.
The US Naval Forces Central Command is charged with managing the 33 nations who contribute ships to a coalition called the Combined Maritime Forces. This focuses on “defeating terrorism, preventing piracy, encouraging regional cooperation and promoting a safe maritime environment.”
The US is keen to put together a new “coalition” to ensure maritime security in the Gulf region against what Washington says are threats from Iran. But this coalition has proven harder to establish because many potential allies are so out of step with the US on Iran, and are keen to preserve the nuclear deal that Trump has torn up.
A Spanish frigate, the ESPS Méndez Núñez, recently left the Abraham Lincoln Carrier Strike Group, which is currently based in the Gulf of Oman and focuses on Iran. Spain does not support the US withdrawal from the anti-nuclear deal agreed with Iran in 2015.
Neither does Britain. And while the UK is sending a destroyer to the region, it has not indicated whether it would join in an Iran-specific force — especially when a coalition force already exists and even has a Briton as its deputy commander.
The consequences of a single mistake
Amid the fissile atmosphere in the Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz, a single mistake could unleash catastrophe.
Earlier this week, Javad Zarif, the Iranian foreign minister, warned of the high stakes in play. “All through history Iran has provided security in these waters,”
he told CNN’s Fareed Zakaria. “The United States is intervening in order to make these waters insecure for Iran. You cannot make these waters insecure for one country and secure for others.”
“Do you believe that as a result of this — whoever is to blame — you could have an escalation which would result in a military incident?” Zakaria asked him.

The USS Boxer’s flight deck covers 2.2 acres. On the flight deck and inside its belly, the vessel carries the following aircraft: The Harrier, the Osprey, the Sea Hawk and the Sea Stallion.
“In such a small body of water if you have so many foreign vessels, I mean accidents will happen…” the Iranian foreign minister replied, emphasizing that Iran did not want war and called on all parties to “work” to avoid war.
He drew attention to the US killing of 290 civilian passengers on board Iran Air flight 655, shot down by the USS Vincennes during the “tanker wars” of the 1980s.
Tehran has repeatedly called for a return to negotiations with the US, but only if the US lifts economic sanctions first. This week there were signs that the Trump administration was preparing to make good on its offer to talk directly with Iran, without preconditions, reportedly tapping Senator Rand Paul as the man to make the overtures.
Onboard the Boxer, CNN asked Brigadier General Trollinger, the commander of the Task Force controlling the USS Boxer, if an apparently minor misstep by a junior sailor or Marine could have dangerous consequences — like a war?
“That’s absolutely accurate,” the general replied. “All the training we do, all the education we do is the express purpose of getting after that, to make sure that we eliminate or reduce rather… mitigate to the best of our ability … any risk of miscalculation.”
The alternative is almost unthinkable. But in complex negotiations, the trick is to convince the other that the unthinkable is an option.
CNN’s Sarah Sirgany contributed to this report.
Source: https://www.cnn.com/2019/07/19/middleeast/iran-hormuz-fifth-fleet-intl/index.html
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